Monday 29 January 2018

From Davos to What the Future might hold in Zimbabwe




The Davos summit in Switzerland is attended by the world’s powerful leaders both in the political, business and economic spheres. The summit  seeks to open dialogue on how best the world can drive economic growth, galvanise private capital and to some extent push the agenda for globalisation. This year's World Economic Forum is running under the theme, “Creating a shared future in a fractured world". The theme is very apt considering isolationism being driven by the world's biggest economy, the United States, Britain's exit from the European Union, and conflicts in the Korean peninsular,  Middle East, West Africa and Eastern Europe.

Developing countries attending the four day meeting usually seek new and old partners to build and further grow relationships and their economies. For Zimbabwe 2018 is the first time in history that her head of state has ever been invited to this kind of forum. Possibly in subscribing to consistency, in his first 60 days as president of Zimbabwe Mr E.D Mnangagwa has maintained his mantra that also livened up his inauguration speech...."Zimbabwe is open for business". Under the rule of Mr Mugabe, his predecessor, Zimbabwe was a closed society not open to the family of nations. Zimbabwe has got a fractured economy and a president that is seeking re-engagement with international partners whilst Davos has a theme that speaks to a shared future, one gets a feeling that this blending might chart Zimbabwe on a path to re-discover itself though challenges should be expected on the way. There seems to be a shift from political rhetoric to renewed focus on economics and trade. In that same vein there is hope that this can pave way for new and fresh FDI that can take the economy forward through increased production and exports.

In the discussions at Davos, Zimbabwe's president singled out agriculture and mining as the two sectors the current government will work on heavily in order to revive the economy. Having spearheaded a largely successful Command Agriculture program, Mnangagwa seems eager to put back the ‘breadbasket’ tag on Zimbabwe again. Growth in the agricultural sector will revive the export market through increased productivity in small grains, dairy and tobacco which all along has been one of the biggest sources for foreign currency.


The Indigenisation Act has been the stumbling block to investment in the mining sector which required foreigners to cede 51% of their shareholding to locals. However the recent budget statement from Mnangagwa’s government has brought some wholesale changes to the Indigenisation Act with platinum and diamond being the only two minerals that require a certain threshold of local participation in terms of shareholding. Commodity prices have been on a rebound and with improvements in the mining sector more valuable contributions will be realised in the economy. At the same time after 37 years of independence the country still does not add value on their minerals so an opportunity exists for value chain industries that deal with beneficiation. 

Corruption in Zimbabwe has blighted economic progress and massive scams have been and continue to be unearthed. The previous government was not pro-active in exorcising and putting up measures to curb corruption. Though the new president has been part of the previous government he has promised zero tolerance on corruption. FDI will always be difficult to source in an environment that is ripe with corruption and there is never meaningful development when a society is plagued in corruption. Corruption remains a vice that has to be ridden of if Zimbabwe is to attract high levels of foreign investment. The dealing of corruption matters in the country will directly determine the flow of investment in the country. Transparency has to be at the core of government operations and red tape should be minimised through adoption of technologies that drive efficiency. 

The holding of elections is an inevitable process this year as the Constitution clearly outlays. The holding of free, fair and transparent elections will not only legitimise the government of the day but also drive investor confidence. The invitation of the international community to monitor the elections might be one way of re-engaging the international community. Proposals and talk of reengagement with the U.K, which has historical ties spanning economic, political and social spheres sounds much encouraging given the economic and perhaps social benefits that may trickle through. The same can be said with efforts of getting Zimbabwe back to the Commonwealth grouping.

On the social front, Gukurahundi remains a thorn in Zimbabwe’s social fabric. It is arguably one of the saddest part of Zimbabwe’s history. In that regard, there is need to immediately deal with this issue with great effort and heartiness as there is no form of economic prosperity that can ever oblique social injustices. In this vein the government needs to dedicate effort and resources to national healing and reconciliation. The same also applies to other atrocities such as election violence, inhumane displacements, fast track land reform and pre-independence conflicts.

Much emphasis has to be placed on manufacturing, energy development and technology as the pillars that can drive economic recovery outside of mining and agriculture. The country has an acute shortage of electricity and this area has to be addressed with the adoption of green energy solutions like, solar and bio-energy, which has tremendous potential in Zimbabwe. Technology advancement, through promulgation of effective legislation should be used to drive industrial efficiency. Once effective technological and energy systems are put in place, the manufacturing sector will grow rapidly. 

Above all Zimbabwe has got to draw up more economic reforms and draft flexible legislation. Zimbabwe can draw wisdom from WEF’s mission statement which says it is “committed to improving the state of the world by engaging business, political, academic, and other leaders of society to shape global, regional, and industry agendas”. Beyond policy, rhetoric and international meetings, Zimbabweans need to find each other in reviving the economy. Engagement of business, political, social and academic leaders is key!

Adrian F Mapiye & Ngonidzashe Makaha